Pt 6 of the Qld election blog for 2015 – Polling and results #qldvotes #qldpol @Qldaah

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Welcome to part six of the Queensland election coverage for 2015. The below entries cover the period from January 31 onwards. To follow the Twitter stream, see #qldvotes.

List of Qld election blogs:

• Jan 06 – Jan 16: Pt 1 Qld election blog 2015.
• Jan 17 – Jan 21: Pt 2 Qld election blog 2015.
• Jan 22 – Jan 25: Pt 3 Qld election blog 2015.
• Jan 26 – Jan 28: Pt 4 Qld election blog 2015.
• Jan 29 – Jan 30: Pt 5 Qld election blog 2015.
• Jan 31 – Feb 02: Pt 6 Qld election blog 2015.
• Feb 03 – Feb 05: Pt 7 Qld election blog 2015.
• Feb 06 – Feb 09: Pt 8 Qld election blog 2015.
• Feb 10 – Feb 11: Pt9 Qld election blog 2015.
• An archive of The Courier Mail’s front pages during election 2015.

Highlights

• Margo Kingston writes, “The big picture theme of the Queensland election campaign has been the extraordinary alliance of people and parties across the political spectrum to oust the LNP”: No Fibs’ and Tony Fitzgerald’s #qldvotes Editorials.
• Meg Hill writes, “Right now I am caught in a gap, an unfamiliar, vacuum-life period of time that began when I finished high school in the Northern Rivers of NSW and will end, hopefully, when I move interstate to Queensland and start university”: Impressions of #qldvotes by soon-to-be Qlder Meg Hill.
• David Fagan writes, “Whoever becomes the next Queensland premier has a chance to wind back the winner-takes-all approach that has worked its way back into the state’s political culture over the past decade, particularly under the take-no-prisoners premiership of Campbell Newman”: Queenslanders deserve a government they can trust.
• John Birmingham writes, “The electorate isn’t volatile. Voters aren’t unpredictable. The rules have not changed. If you lie to people, if you promise one thing and deliver its opposite, if you treat public office as your due and the ordinary people who put you there with contempt, they will turn on you. And when they come for you, their vengeance will be swift and terrible to behold”: It’s not the voters’ fault, you idiots.

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From Margo

From Antony Green

• Queensland Bellwether Electorates
• Antony Green’s Queensland election guide is now online
• Why Campbell Newman Advocates ‘Just Vote 1’
• 2015 Queensland Election – Summary of Candidates and Parties
• Legislative Assembly Calculator

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(February 2 2015) – LNP leadership speculation

The count

• Antony Green writes, “Labor has a definite 43 seats. It remains in a strong position to win Maryborough, which would take Labor to 44 seats, while Whitsunday remains in doubt and Gaven is now also in doubt. A victory in either seat would deliver Labor a 45th seat and majority government”: Queensland Election Result Update – 2 February.
• Amy Remeikis reports,”Pauline Hanson has emerged as a player in the Queensland election result, as preferences indicate the former One Nation leader on track for a political comeback”: Pauline Hanson could make political comeback.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “A clear winner is yet to emerge between the major parties, although the latest prediction has Labor to win 45 seats”: A further 600,000 votes could be added to Queensland election count.
• Sarah Elks reports, “Labor’s campaign director has flagged a likely recount in at least seven Queensland seats, but insists the ALP is still “optimistic” Annastacia Palaszczuk will be the next Premier”: Recount likely in seven seats.

Minority governments – LNP

• “Rob Katter is on his way to Brisbane and expects to hold talks with both sides of the political divide when he arrives”: Rob Katter says party talks ‘likely’.
• Jessica Johnstone reports, “Katter’s Australia Party has retained two seats in Queensland parliament, with sitting members increasing their margins in both Dalrymple and Mount Isa”: Dalrymple and Mount Isa remain Katter’s Australia Party strongholds.

Katter Party MPs say opportunity for 'any party' 'no favouritism' #9News #qldvotes #qldpol pic.twitter.com/7kpKcMQxJo

— Shane Doherty (@ShaneDoherty9) February 2, 2015

2 blokes with a big say in Qld's next government. Katter Party's Robbie Katter and Shane Knuth. 7NewsQ #qldpol pic.twitter.com/jVraZ80hvF

— Geoff Breusch (@gbreusch) February 2, 2015

Enjoying the culmination of a big campaign. Thank you to all who donated time to the effort. pic.twitter.com/RLpysZ149V

— Robbie Katter MP (@RobKatter3) January 31, 2015

LNP leadership speculation

• Joshua Robertson writes, “Fiona Simpson overrides wishes of outgoing deputy premier, Jeff Seeney, for a ‘smooth transition’ by publicly declaring: ‘I’d love the job”: LNP in disarray as Queensland speaker puts hand up to lead after election rout.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “The LNP’s hope for a “seamless leadership transition” was thrown in doubt after a party room meeting to find a new party leader was cancelled just hours after it was announced, while challengers publicly made their case for the leadership”: LNP’s “seamless leadership transition” put in doubt.
• Matt Eaton and Melinda Howells report, “LNP Speaker of Parliament Fiona Simpson has announced she will contest the LNP leadership, as the election result still hangs in the balance”: Speaker Fiona Simpson to contest LNP leadership; Tim Nicholls and Lawrence Springborg also expected to stand.

Fiona Simpson says @JeffSeeney 'doesn't have authority' to call party room meeting #qldvotes #qldpol #9News pic.twitter.com/1ATkQWijwA

— Shane Doherty (@ShaneDoherty9) February 2, 2015

.@JeffSeeney says it's important LNP has a fresh start & new leadership team @tennewsqld #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/bbMtwrP89V

— Tegan George (@tegangeorge) February 1, 2015

#qldvotes @JeffSeeney will stand down as Deputy Premier. Time for a fresh leadership team. pic.twitter.com/2GpNllPt0C

— David Marler (@Qldaah) February 1, 2015

Former Speaker of the 54th Parliament, @FionaSimpsonMP interested in leadership of the LNP. #qldvotes #qldpol pic.twitter.com/9D0mlJ1FHI

— David Marler (@Qldaah) February 1, 2015

Cartoons

https://twitter.com/Knightcartoons/status/562084269678272513

https://twitter.com/leahycartoons/status/562059798145794048

News, opinion and analysis

• David Fagan writes, “Whoever becomes the next Queensland premier has a chance to wind back the winner-takes-all approach that has worked its way back into the state’s political culture over the past decade, particularly under the take-no-prisoners premiership of Campbell Newman”: Queenslanders deserve a government they can trust.

#qldvotes CM running out of headline ideas… pic.twitter.com/7fyyxbvFt1

— David Marler (@Qldaah) February 1, 2015

(February 1 2015) – Counting continues

Rise of the 55th Queensland Parliament

• Joshua Robertson writes, “Campbell Newman’s hubris and doggedly partisan approach defined his time governing Queensland, but Palaszczuk projects a contrasting leadership style”: Annastacia Palaszczuk: an ascendancy marked by all that Newman is not.
• Simon Holt writes, “The election result is catastrophic for the Liberal-National Party, and an opportunity for a new Labor to do what others couldn’t – to listen to the people”: Election result an opportunity for positive change.
• “Leeanne Enoch  is set to become one of two Labor Indigenous MPs elected to Queensland Parliament”: Labor’s Leeanne Enoch to become one of two Indigenous MPs.
• Matt Eaton and Matt Watson report, “Katter’s Australian Party (KAP) says it is willing to cut a deal with the Labor Party to form a minority government in Queensland”: KAP ready to make deal with Labor on forming government.

 

Labor & LNP will likely end up with 43 seats each, leaving independents to decide who's in charge #QldVotes #9News pic.twitter.com/xZMkvKgjO1

— 9News Queensland (@9NewsQueensland) February 1, 2015

Changing of the political guard in Far North QLD @CairnsEsplanade #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/GzNGE3hxgr

— Cairns Post (@TheCairnsPost) February 1, 2015

Strong LNP GC team. #qldpol @MichaelHartMP @MichaelCrandon @JPLangbroek @Molhoek @Verity_BartonMP pic.twitter.com/zwftkdEqXe

— Jann Stuckey (@jann_stuckey) February 1, 2015

Tipping comp

A @NoFibs election tipping comp? LNP v ALP seats: which party by how many. Tips in comments to @Qldaah #qldvotes blog http://t.co/dgDcoePHDs

— 📣Margo Kingston💧🔥 (@margokingston1) January 18, 2015

@margokingston1 @NoFibs My tip for Qld parliament makeup to @Qldaah is ALP (55) Ind (4) LNP (20) PUP (10) … ALP win pup takes some LNP seats

— Z☰N DIGIT∆L (@z3n_digital) January 18, 2015

Newman packs up his office

The Abbott factor

• “Prime Minister Tony Abbott did nothing to help the Liberal National Party’s (LNP) position in the Queensland election campaign, the party’s state president Bruce McIver says”: LNP president says Abbott had role in poll outcome.

Palaslide

• Leonie Mellor reports, “Once known as a politician’s daughter, Annastacia Palaszczuk looks set to surpass her father’s achievements and become a successful Labor leader in her own right”: Annastacia Palaszczuk – from politician’s daughter to Labor success story.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “Labor is within a hair’s breadth of being returned to government, while Campbell Newman has conceded his loss in Ashgrove”: Tears and cheers as poll results come in.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “Queensland’s “accidental Premier” was still hesitant in claiming her victory on Sunday morning, despite indications Labor would pull off an historic political comeback”: ‘Accidental Premier’ Palaszczuk waits to claim victory.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “A new political landscape will greet Queensland, with Labor set to take back power after just three years”: State wakes to new political landscape.

Thank you! #teamkate #qldpol #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/ngXASbAQR2

— Kate Jones (@katejonesqld) January 31, 2015

Annastacia Palaszczuk in Burpengary: #qldvotes result "few days" away but ALP will stop LNP privatisation plans pic.twitter.com/JJz7wVbfmQ

— Josh Robertson (@jrojourno) February 1, 2015

https://twitter.com/bkjabour/status/561711192285007872

#qldvotes Annastacia miracle. pic.twitter.com/HN0fx3hRon

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

The 44 story office Campbell Newman built that he will never get to use #9News #qldvotes #qldpol pic.twitter.com/cnLW6tagZR

— Shane Doherty (@ShaneDoherty9) January 31, 2015

(January 31 2015) Day 26 – Polling day

Too close to call

@AnnastaciaMP says election still too close to call but hopeful of forming government. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/IiRuJagNUM

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

https://twitter.com/nick__w/status/561506427043196929

LNP losses and fallout

Newman surrenders Ashgrove

Newman concedes Ashgrove. "My political career is over." #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/g23Tqfti7s

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

https://twitter.com/nick__w/status/561487638176079872

The swing against @theqldpremier is 10.6%. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/ZQgkOu1QAT

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

At Ashgrove, he did surrender. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/Qt8zwPSdZM

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Double digit swings against the Newman Government

Racing Minister @SteveDicksonMP suffers a 14.2% swing against him. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/j3sPvcCubO

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Qld Env Minister @AndrewPowellMP suffers a 18.8% swing against him. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/wvQ5BHsZJD

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Attorney-General @JarrodBleijieMP suffers a 16.5% swing against him. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/f5xxZ9XXd4

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Ag Minister @JohnMcVeighMP suffers a 13.8% swing against him. #qlddvotes pic.twitter.com/pJP3jQ64WI

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Treasurer @TimNichollsMP suffers a 12.2% swing against him. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/loizGganFE

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Local Govt Minister @DavidCrisafulli has suffered a 12.7% swing against him. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/AZFsfbRHmg

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Police Minister @JackDempseyMP suffers a massive 22.4% swing against him in Bundaberg. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/kAiiYhGBHN

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Galaxy exit poll – 54pc to Labor

•  Jorge Branco report, “Early exit polling suggests Queensland will wake up with a new government”: Early exit poll figures predict Labor win.

JUST IN: #9News Galaxy exit poll after preferences has @QLDLabor 54% to @LNPQLD 46%. #QldVotes #QldPol pic.twitter.com/xsrrIhJgxe

— 9News Queensland (@9NewsQueensland) January 31, 2015

JUST IN: #9News Galaxy exit poll predicts state swing of 16.8% from @LNPQLD to @QldLabor. #QldVotes #QldPol pic.twitter.com/TeIOKiq7SF

— 9News Queensland (@9NewsQueensland) January 31, 2015

@9NewsBrisbane @maxphillips @AnnastaciaMP @QLDLabor who's smoking what up there!?

— Barry O'Farrell (@barryofarrell) January 31, 2015

ETU defamation action agains The Courier Mail and LNP

ETU defamation action against @couriermail and @LNPQLD re bikie speech video clip. @abcnews #qldvotes

— Chris O'Brien (@COBrienBris) January 31, 2015

LNP wins bid to ban independent how-to-votes

• Judith Kerr reports, “One of the key candidates of the Redlands electorate has been banned from handing out her How to Vote cards”: LNP wins Supreme Court case: Sheena Hewlett How to Vote cards illegal.

LNP bid to prevent GetUp handing out how to vote cards rejected

• Judith Kerr and Jorge Branco report, “A bid to prevent volunteers from activist group GetUp handing out how to vote cards which put the LNP last has been thrown out of court”: Fight against GetUp how-to-vote cards thrown out of court.

LNP injunction over Labor signage fails

• “The Liberal National Party (LNP) has failed in a bid to gain a court injunction against the Labor Party over a series of polling booth signs”: LNP takes Labor to court over ‘misleading’ vote banners.

Battles at polling booths begin- LNP wants these signs banned; ALP slamming the bikie pages #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/N9r6uYenhk

— KAT FEENEY💃🚲🤪 (@katherinefeeney) January 30, 2015

Democracy Sausage

Many #qldvotes sites now mapped at http://t.co/s2Sx792hMl, if your polling place doesn’t have a status let us know! pic.twitter.com/2IUbfoA20N

— Democracy Sausage (@DemSausage) January 31, 2015

Check out our sizzling new #democracysausage Sausagelytics page. The Best & The Wurst! http://t.co/zzxPnWH6dZ pic.twitter.com/guFfNAVuGH

— Democracy Sausage (@DemSausage) January 31, 2015

Townsville confrontation – LNP

• Samantha Healy reports, “There was tension at the Mundingburra State School polling booth when about a dozen bikers turned up to confront LNP incumbent David Crisafulli”: Tensions over anti-bikie laws.

Tension at Mundingburra SS after bikers protesting the VLAD laws stopped to speak to LNP David Crisafulli #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/fwgotLZ77P

— Townsville Bulletin (@tsv_bulletin) January 31, 2015

Key seat – Mansfield

• Tony Moore writes, “It’s the seat of Mansfield, held by Ian Walker, the LNP’s Minister for Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts, that the government should be worried about”: It’s Mansfield, not Ashgrove, that counts.

Offensive Tony Abbott T-Shirt

• “Police have been called to Pimlico High School after a man made an offensive political statement with his T-shirt”: Man wears offensive Tony Abbott shirt into Pimlico High voting booth.

Police were called to Pimlico SHS after complaints about this man's shirt. #shirtgate2015 #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/TsplxCeloN

— Townsville Bulletin (@tsv_bulletin) January 31, 2015

Premiership speculation

• Sue Lappeman writes, “I was going to write today, election day, about what a government in an ideal world would look like”: Restless electorate risks making one-term governments the norm.
• Amy Remeikis reports, “Campbell Newman heads into polling day today on the cusp of making history as the first Queensland Premier to lose his seat in a century”: Premier Campbell Newman on brink of losing his seat.
• Melanie Stott reports, “Public sentiment can change in a heartbeat, but history shows pre-election poll results can indicate what to expect on election day”: LNP leadership: Who are the alternative leaders if Campbell Newman loses Ashgrove?

https://twitter.com/bkjabour/status/561316591460036608

On the polling trail – Labor

• “Party leaders have joined Queenslanders in casting their votes and grabbing a sausage at polling booths across the state”: Sausages sizzle as voters finally get to have their say.

Labor supporters getting ready for a big night at Richlands Lions soccer club #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/0cC6z3gcSV

— Melinda Howells (@MelindaHowells) January 31, 2015

The gang's all here! Media set up at @QLDLabor HQ at Richlands Lions soccer club pic.twitter.com/6Jmc8onmFc

— Melinda Howells (@MelindaHowells) January 31, 2015

The shattered dreams of democracy #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/DflXONWwRz

— Melinda Howells (@MelindaHowells) January 31, 2015

Wedged between the @katejonesqld corflutes, but I'm pretty sure that's an LNP sign… pic.twitter.com/zyYwKnLhUQ

— Jessica van Vonderen (@jessvanvonderen) January 30, 2015

Handing out for Kate. #keepkate #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/mhT9QrnwY2

— Dee Madigan (@deemadigan) January 31, 2015

Sadly someone stole their cashbox at St Finbarr's booth today. Report anything to Crime Stoppers. #teamkate #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/YDNtNwUyBm

— Kate Jones (@katejonesqld) January 31, 2015

BREAKING: @AnnastaciaMP orders snag on bread. NO ONION #qldvotes @7NewsBrisbane

— Katrina Blowers (@katrinablowers) January 31, 2015

#qldvotes It's back: #ImWithStupid T-Shirts the return: More @BrisbaneTimes Poll Call: http://t.co/IibJPVrRUu pic.twitter.com/mKkkIpGSbI

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

A vote and a sausage for @AnnastaciaMP. @9NewsBrisbane #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/qenW8ZaKep

— Michael Best (@michaelbesty) January 31, 2015

On the polling trail – The Greens

At Ironside w/ our hardworking @QldGreens Indooroopilly candidate @JakeSchoermer! Great book stall here 2! #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/XUkXpExmhu

— Larissa Waters (@larissawaters) January 31, 2015

1st time booth vollie Jeanette is helping @QldGreens coz of our stance on #climate &#GreatBarrierReef -taa! #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/uj7xLhT5AC

— Larissa Waters (@larissawaters) January 31, 2015

On the polling trail – LNP

• Sarah Elks reports, “Premier Campbell Newman has voted in today’s Queensland election in his must-win electorate of Ashgrove, and has remained defiant in the face of polls showing a violent swing against his LNP government”: Last pitches as polls open.

.@ShaneDoherty9: ‘How are you feeling?’ @theqldpremier: ‘We’ve put forward a great plan for Qld.’ #QldVotes #9News pic.twitter.com/M0CayoWhaS

— 9News Queensland (@9NewsQueensland) January 31, 2015

 

https://twitter.com/GriffithElects/status/561334087181287424

More of Ros Bates' visual propaganda and slander at Mudgeeraba: pic.twitter.com/riVs1nhs1T

— Dave Donovan (@davrosz) January 30, 2015

'It's a difficult choice' @theqldpremier tells a voter #9News #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/SvMu8eKdNn

— Shane Doherty (@ShaneDoherty9) January 30, 2015

LNP have taken over the school again. They have to control everything. #qldvotes pic.twitter.com/ovDlri4NU0

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 31, 2015

Polling trail – PUP

Battle stations at Buderim State School this morning #apnqldvotes pic.twitter.com/ioAq00CmXs

— Bianca Clare (@bianca_clare) January 31, 2015

Cartoons

• First Dog on the Moon in the Sunshine State: It’s hot! It’s Queensland! There’s an election!

History

Election day in 1907. Polling place for North Brisbane. (@slqld pic) #qldvotes #qldpol pic.twitter.com/IdjSbnfKrJ

— Retro Queensland (@History_Qld) January 30, 2015

Galaxy poll – Ashgrove TPP 55pc to Labor

Galaxy: Newman to lose Ashgrove, 55-45 2PP, LNP to hang on to govt. #qldvotes http://t.co/TI06DlP2QS

— Sarah Elks (@sarahelks) January 30, 2015

News, opinion and analysis

• Meg Hill writes, “Right now I am caught in a gap, an unfamiliar, vacuum-life period of time that began when I finished high school in the Northern Rivers of NSW and will end, hopefully, when I move interstate to Queensland and start university”: Impressions of #qldvotes by soon-to-be Qlder Meg Hill.

#qldvotes CM finally catches up with the rest of us. pic.twitter.com/2ROf2BKplN

— David Marler (@Qldaah) January 30, 2015